The Daily Service
The Cliff Harris/Randy Mann Weather and Trades continues to provide the same daily weather service that many clients been accustomed to for over 20 years. Cliff Harris has been forecasting weather for over 40 years.
We also have the highly acclaimed, "Cliff's Lucky 7 Picks" of potentially profitable weather commodity trades updated by Cliff as needed. This section highlights the major commodity markets that have been and will be affected by Ma Nature's wild ways in recent years.
Meteorologist Tom Loffman also provides his daily technical commodity trades. His weather and long-time trading systems will help provide the trader with the best information available.
Each business day, Monday through Friday, you will also receive our short, medium and long-term weather forecasts (up to 180 days and beyond) and specialized articles on our pattern of Wide Weather "EXTREMES", long-term climatological cycles to 2038, El Nino, La Nina, global warming and cooling, volcanic activity, sunspot cycles, potential coffee and orange juice freezes, plus corn, wheat, cotton and soybean drought forecasts.
One of our primary function is to help traders, farmers, and business interests plan ahead. We won't just tell our subscribers when we think a particular weather event will occur in a specific location, but we want to instruct our subscribers as to why a specific "type" of climatological condition should develop and why these particular changes will affect farmers, the commodity markets, and various business interests.
Click here for TOM LOFFMAN'S DAILY STOCK & COMMODITY COMMENTS
Testimonials
I’ve used Cliff’s service for timing on planting for over 17 years. I get a schedule for corn pollination, especially on dryland crops, and his advice has been ‘right on’ about 90% of the time. He keeps us posted on overseas crop conditions and weather. He saved my cousin and I from bankruptcy when corn was at the bottom. - Ed Petrowski, Kansas.
This service is great! He’s the only light in these dark clouds. I highly recommend this service as many ask me about his advice every day. I’ve made lots of money with Cliff. - Kevin Hansen, Illinois.
This service has a lot of value with weather forecasts and marketing recommendations for the U.S. and around the world. I’ve known Cliff for over 30 years and have used this service since it began on DTN. - Ray Gaesser, Vice President of the American Soybean Association, Iowa
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Daily Service Sample
CLIFF HARRIS/RANDY MANN WEATHER AND TRADES (MONDAY OCTOBER 29, 2012)
NEW 180-DAY LONG RANGE WEATHER OUTLOOK:
Most of the rain and snow shower activity will be in the northwestern U.S. There will be some snow showers near the Great Lakes and frosty conditions near the Canadian border into next week. Toward the end next week, however, moisture is expected to increase across the Great Plains and Corn Belt states. Behind that particular storm system, high pressure is expected to rebuild across the southern Great Plains bringing warmer and drier weather to the nation's midsection toward Halloween.
All eyes are on Hurricane Sandy. Federal forecasters are calling this system "Frankenstorm" as it looks more ominous by the hour. It's currently a Category 1 storm and is expected to move northward near the East Coast this weekend. Sandy may be a strong tropical storm by the time it reaches the Virginia and Atlantic Coasts. By Halloween Eve, this storm may move across New England and New York.
Officials are concerned with possible heavy property damage from Sandy across the Northeast. Estimates are now close to $1 billion. It appears that colder air from Canada will mix in, creating heavy snows across southern Quebec and New England. Stay tuned.
OCTOBER 29 (FULL MOON) - DECEMBER 13 (NEW MOON): There should be two jet stream upper-level wind flow patterns across the country during this six-week cycle. A weak El Nino should strengthen a sub-tropical moist jet stream from California eastward into the Carolinas and the Mid-Atlantic states. A weaker Maritime Polar Jet Stream will likely hug the U.S./Canadian border to the north.
DECEMBER 13 (NEW MOON) - JANUARY 26 (FULL MOON): This six-week winter of 2012-13 cycle should be milder than usual north of I-80 and drier than normal with less snowfall across the Inland Northwest. Thanks to El Nino, it will be wetter than normal from California eastward to the Atlantic Coastline.
JANUARY 26 (FULL MOON) - MARCH 11 (NEW MOON): This winter cycle may be wetter than usual from California and the Desert Southwest eastward to the Carolinas, if El Nino holds on in the Pacific Ocean. The Pacific Northwest will stay dry and mild. Normal weather will prevail elsewhere across the country.
SOUTH AMERICA'S 6-10 DAY WEATHER OUTLOOKS THROUGH NOVEMBER 8TH
While the exception of a few showers at times across northeastern Brazil, Peru and southwestern Bolivia, all other crop zones will be drier than usual this mid spring period under two strong ridges of high pressure. Temperatures will likewise be warmer than normal, except for Uruguay and southeastern Brazil where it will remain cool and mild.
AUSTRALIA'S 6-10 DAY WEATHER OUTLOOKS THROUGH NOVEMBER 8TH
Abnormally dry weather across much of the continent along with warmer than normal temperatures will be unfavorable in most crop zones of Australia for filling wheat. The arid conditions, however, will favor early maturing wheat soon to be harvested.
SOUTH AFRICA'S 6-10 DAY WEATHER OUTLOOKS THROUGH NOVEMBER 8TH
Improving rainfall favors both the late planting and early developing of maize (corn) across most crop regions of South Africa.
INDIA'S AND PAKISTAN'S 6-10 DAY WEATHER OUTLOOKS THROUGH NOVEMBER 8TH
Except for lingering showers across southern India, most of the rest of India and all of Pakistan are now in the annual dry seasons and quite warm.
CHINA'S 6-10 DAY WEATHER OUTLOOKS THROUGH NOVEMBER 8TH
Most of this huge country will be dry and relatively cool for mid fall during the next 10 days. Most of the shower activity will be in the extreme northeastern crop zones or far southern China.
EUROPE'S 6-10 DAY WEATHER OUTLOOKS THROUGH NOVEMBER 8TH
Recent rains have improved conditions for the planting of winter wheat across formerly dry, wildfire-ravaged southwestern Europe. Most crop zones will be wet and cool during the next 10 days.
We should mention that summer drought conditions, fires, frosts and hail have combined not only to hurt grain grains, but the 2012 harvest of grapes is being termed, "the worst in a half century."
The two biggest wine producing nations, France and Italy, haven't seen a harvest this poor since the early 1960s. France's Chardonnay grapes were seriously hurt by hard freezes this past spring and an exceptionally frigid winter of 2011-12. A much drier than normal summer didn't help matters.
RUSSIA'S AND THE F.S.U.'S 6-10 DAY WEATHER OUTLOOKS THROUGH NOVEMBER 8TH
It's still quite dry in many crop zones throughout the Ukraine, Russia and the Former Soviet Union. Wheat exports, for example, will be down between 30% and 50% in Russia, the Ukraine and the western F.S.U.
THE CANADIAN PRAIRIE PROVINCES 6-10 DAY OUTLOOKS THROUGH NOVEMBER 8TH
There will be rain and snow showers ending by October 26. The period between October 27 and November 4, will be very cold, dry and windy with frigid northerly winds.
CLIFF'S "LUCKY 7" FUTURES, OPTIONS & SPREADS TRADES (MONDAY, OCTOBER 29, 2012):
FUTURES AND SPREADS:
1. Buy July 2013 Chicago corn between $7.21-$7.25 with a stop at $7.07-$7.11. Risk: $700. Buy nearby "puts" on each rally and "calls" on the major dips. Corn was mostly down on Friday.
2. POTENTIALLY PROFITABLE CORN SPREAD!!! Have your "cake and eat it, too." Buy July 2013 corn and sell December 2012 corn at a 11-15 cent premium to the December "short" side. This spread should go to at least 20 cents in favor of July 2013, as farmers "SELL OUT OF THE FIELDS" later this fall against December 2012. This spread allows for both "HEDGING" and "SPECULATING" in the same crop year and at favorable spread margins!!! Corn was mostly down on Friday.
3. Buy March 2013 Chicago wheat between $8.71-$8.75 with a stop at $8.57-$8.61. Risk: $700. Wheat was down on Friday.
4. Buy March 2013 Chicago oats between $3.75-$3.79 with a stop at $3.61-$3.65. Risk: $700. Oats were "mixed" on Friday.
5. Buy November 2013 soybeans at $13.21-$13.25. Put stops at $13.07-$13.11. November 2013 soybeans are still very oversold. Wait patiently to buy. Soybeans were "mixed" on Friday.
6. Buy November 2012 Chicago feeder cattle at 144.30-144.80. Put stops at 141.30-141.80. Risk: $1,500. Take profits near $1.50-a-pound. Feeders were down again on Friday.
7. Buy #11 March 2013 New York sugar at 19.15-19.20 cents-a-pound. Put stops at 18.65-18.70 cents-a-pound. Risk: $560. Sugar was down again on Friday.
TOM LOFFMAN'S PROFIT TARGET FUTURES SYSTEM (MONDAY, OCTOBER 29, 2012)
NOTE: All nearby contract positions are 'LONG' unless noted.
| Commodity Type |
Nearby Contract |
Previous Close |
Profit Or Loss |
Protective Stop/Exit |
Projected Profit Exit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CORN (CHI.) | 836 1/2 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | |||
| COCOA (N.Y.) | 2384 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | |||
| COTTON (N.Y.) | 72.43 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | |||
| FEEDER CATTLE | $151.05 | 147.2 | (-$1,925.00) | 145.525 | 151.25 |
| GOLD (N.Y.) | 1796.6 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | |||
| COFFEE (N.Y.) | 157.8 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | |||
| LEAN HOGS (CHI.) | $78.33 | 78.9 | $230.00 | 78.1 | 78.775 |
| MINI NASDAQ | 2659.25 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | |||
| OATS (CHI.) | 396 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | |||
| ORANGE JUICE | 117.8 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | |||
| GASOLINE (N.Y.) | $2.68 | 2.699 | $483.00 | 2.689 | 2.712 |
| SOYBEANS (CHI.) | $1,573.25 | 1563 3/4 | (-$475.00) | 1555 1/2 | 1584 |
| SUGAR (N.Y.) | 19.54 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | |||
| SILVER (N.Y.) | 32.09 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | |||
| BEAN MEAL (CHI.) | 483.5 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | |||
| S & P 500 (N.Y.) | 1408.3 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | |||
| T-NOTE (3 YR.) | 812 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | |||
| WHEAT (CHI.) | 864 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) |
Tom's Profit Limit Commodity Comments: "Profit Target Futures: On a broad scale, markets continue to be cautious. 8 of 20 Profit Target commodities are in uptrends. Bullish: most grains, most currencies, dollar. Bearish: metals, most interest rates, stocks, energy. Mixed: other ag (softs)."
TOM LOFFMAN'S BREAKOUT COMMODITY TRADES (MONDAY, OCTOBER 29, 2012)
NOTE: All nearby contract positions are 'LONG' unless noted.
| Commodity Type |
Nearby Contract |
Previous Close |
Profit Or Loss |
Protective Stop/Exit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD: AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR | $0.97 | 1.0323 | $6,480.00 | 1.0114 |
| BO: SOYBEAN OIL | 51.85 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| BP: BRITISH POUND | $1.59 | 1.6095 | $1,375.00 | 1.5839 |
| C: CORN (CHI.) | 761 3/4 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| CC: COCOA (N.Y.) | 2403 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| CD: CANADIAN DOLLAR | 1.0148 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| CL: CRUDE OIL | 99.77 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| CT: COTTON (N.Y.) | 72.74 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| DX: DOLLAR INDEX | $79.87 | 80.156 | $286.00 | 79.045 |
| E7: EURO (MINI) | $1.25 | 1.2939 | $2,881.25 | 1.2839 |
| EC: EURO CURRENCY | $1.25 | 1.2939 | $5,862.50 | 1.2839 |
| ED: EURO DOLLAR | $99.46 | 99.69 | $587.50 | 99.635 |
| EMD: S&P MID CAP (MINI) | 976.6 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| ES: S & P MINI | 1408.5 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| FC: FEEDER CATTLE | 147.825 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| FV: 5-YEAR NOTES | $124.59 | 124'01.7 | (-$539.06) | 123'24.2 |
| GC: GOLD (N.Y.) | 1780.9 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| HG: HIGH GRADE COPPER | 3.56 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| J7: E-MINI JAPANESE YEN | 1.2658 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| JY: JAPANESE YEN | 1.2723 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| KC: COFFEE (N.Y.) | 157.8 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| LC: LIVE CATTLE | 128.075 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| LH: LEAN HOGS (CHI.) | $78.33 | 78.9 | $230.00 | 78.1 |
| NG: NATURAL GAS | $3.62 | 3.724 | $1,080.00 | 3.215 |
| NQ: MINI NASDAQ | 2659.25 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| O: OATS (CHI.) | 396 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| OJ: ORANGE JUICE | 117.8 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| QM: E-MINO CRUDE OIL | 99.775 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| QN: MINI NATURAL GAS | $3.62 | 3.725 | $262.50 | 3.215 |
| RB: GASOLINE RBOB | 2.7091 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| S: SOYBEANS (CHI.) | $1,553.75 | 1563 3/4 | $500.00 | 1496 |
| SB: SUGAR (N.Y.) | 21.61 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| SF: SWISS FRANC | 1.0832 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| SI: SILVER (N.Y.) | 34.585 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| SM: BEAN MEAL (CHI.) | $465.30 | 483.4 | $1,810.00 | 463.7 |
| SP: S & P 500 (N.Y.) | 1408.3 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| TF: T-NOTE (3 YR.) | $815.80 | 811.9 | (-$390.00) | 800.2 |
| TU: 2-YEAR T-NOTE (P) | 110'08.5 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| TY: 10-YEAR T-NOTE (P) | 133'24.0 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| US: 30-YEAR T-BOND (P) | $147.78 | 148 | $218.75 | 146 11/16 |
| W: WHEAT (CHI.) | 873 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| YG: MINI-SIZED GOLD | 1792.6 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| YI: MINI-SIZED SILVER | 35.077 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| YM: MID-SIZED ($5) DOW IND. | 13056 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) |
Tom's Breakout Commodity Comments: "Breakout Futures: Long positions continue to diminish. Only 14 of 44 Breakout Futures positions are long and 12 are profitable. Most profitable: AD +$6,480, EC +$5,862.50. Least profitable: FV -$539.02. Net Breakout Position P/L: +$20,644.44."
TOM LOFFMAN'S POWER SYSTEMS STOCKS (MONDAY, OCTOBER 29, 2012)
NOTE: All nearby contract positions are 'LONG' unless noted.
| Stock Symbol |
Stock Name |
Previous Close |
Percent Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHM | PulteGroup, Inc | 17.34 | 1.59% |
| REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | 149.25 | -3.85% |
| CX | Cemex S.A.B. ADS | 9.05 | -2.28% |
| LEN | Lennar Corp'A' | 37.54 | -1.31% |
| S | Sprint Nextel Corporation | 5.5 | -0.54% |
| TOL | Toll Brothers | 33.7 | -1.14% |
| WHR | Whirlpool Corp | 95.4 | 0.43% |
| DHI | D.R. Horton | 20.67 | -1.66% |
| HNP | Huaneng Power Intl ADS | 31.45 | -0.19% |
| GPS | Gap Inc | 35.36 | 0.68% |
| SBAC | SBA Communications'A' | 65.96 | 0.44% |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Railway | 92.08 | -0.50% |
| TDG | Transdigm Group Inc | 135.58 | 0.24% |
| DFS | Discover Financial Services | 40.29 | 1.00% |
| STZ | Constellation Brands 'A' | 35.78 | -0.73% |
| CTRX | Catamaran Corp | 47.7 | -2.73% |
| CCI | Crown Castle Intl | 66.33 | 0.62% |
| EXPE | Expedia Inc | 59.05 | 15.24% |
| CMCSA | Comcast Cl'A' | 37.71 | 3.30% |
| DVA | Davita Inc | 110.84 | -0.35% |
Tom's Power System Stocks Comments: "Power Portfolio Stocks LONG: Stocks struggled today. Today (Friday): long portfolio -.77% (top 10 -1.20%), S&P -.06%. Past 5 trading days: long portfolio -2.38% (top 10 -2.76%), S&P -1.42%. Past 20 trading days: long portfolio from 20 days ago - 20 day net -.64%, S&P -1.82%."
TOM LOFFMAN'S TOP SYSTEMS STOCK TRADES (MONDAY, OCTOBER 29, 2012)
NOTE: All nearby contract positions are 'LONG' unless noted.
| Commodity Type |
Nearby Contract |
Previous Close |
Profit Or Loss |
Protective Stop/Exit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | 649.8 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| EXPE | $58.95 | 59.06 | $20.46 | 51.24 |
| PCLN | $582.00 | 579.46 | ($43.18) | 557.86 |
| PCYC | 62.25 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| PHM | $16.99 | 17.28 | $170.52 | 15.6 |
| REGN | 162.96 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| S | $5.89 | 5.49 | ($700.40) | 4.94 |
| SHW | 155.7 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| STX | 31.94 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| XBI | 94.81 (Flat - Buy Stop If Hit) | (See Below) | ||
| XHB | $21.53 | 25.52 | $1,851.36 | 24.59 |
| XIV | $11.60 | 16.42 | $4,154.84 | 14 |
Tom's Top Systems Stock Comments: "Top Systems Stocks: Stocks wavered, and the market continues to be weak and cautious. 6 long and 4 profitable positions. Best: XIV +41.5%. XHB +18.5%."
NOTE: When a Current Position is "Flat," then the trading system is not in that particular position and waiting for the nearby Entry Price. Once the Entry Price is hit, the trading system will generate a Protective Stop. If one chooses to enter the market at the Entry Price, it would be advisable to add a protective stop based on the amount of money one wishes to risk. Nearby contracts will be automatically rolled over one day before First Notice Day.
DISCLAIMER: You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in one or more commodity trades. Don't trade with money that you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to buy or sell futures and options. Although every attempt has been made to assure accuracy, Tom Loffman, Cliff Harris, Randy Mann and other persons relating to the operation of Harris Mann Climatology assume no responsibilities for errors, omissions or any financial gains or losses associated with any trading suggestions or advice.
Looking for Elliott Wave technical forecasts? We recommend this service not associated with Harris-Mann Climatology: Brent Harris Elliott Wave.
